Here are the week’s key events:
US inflation readings are the main risk events in the wake of the Fed’s decision to raise rates again last week. Monetary policy meeting minutes from Japan will be an interesting read after new governor Ueda’s first run out of the stable. The Sentix investor confidence report in Europe and US mortgage delinquencies and wholesale inventory numbers will be the other main economic data releases. Earnings come from Palantir and PayPal, as well as Tesla rival Lucid. Trading may be thinner than usual in Europe at the start of the week with the London Stock Exchange closed for the Coronation bank holiday, whilst it’s also a bank holiday in France in observance of Victory Day.
Earnings: Viatris (VTRS), Lucid Group (LCID), Palantir (PLTR), PayPal (PYPL)
The Biden administration will hold talks with top congressional politicians on the debt ceiling amid warnings the US government could run out of cash by June 1st. The earnings focus will be on Airbnb’s Q1 report after it finished 2022 on a high, delivering its first full year of profitability. Surging foreign travel saw cross-border trips up 49% in Q4 and the outlook for the start of 2023 is also promising. In its Q4 report the company flagged continued strong demand at the start of 2023 and said revenue in the first quarter will be between $1.75 billion and $1.82 billion, slightly down on Q4’s $1.9bn but up a fifth from the $1.5bn in Q1 2022, itself up 70% year-on-year.
Earnings: Airbnb (ABNB), Rivian Automotive (RIVN), Twilio (TWLO), Upstart Holdings (UPST)
US CPI inflation for April is the main event. Inflation eased in March to the lowest level in almost two years but a rise in core price growth alarmed policymakers. CPI for March fell to 5% year-on-year, down from 6% in February. However, core hit 5.6%, up 0.4% on the month, suggesting that sticky inflation will continue to dog the Fed. Traders are also looking to earnings from Disney and loan figures from China.
Earnings: Unity Software (U), The Walt Disney Co (DIS)
With inflation continuing to run in double digits, the Bank of England is widely seen raising rates by 25bps again. Whether it has the bottle to keep hiking and make it clear it will do whatever it takes to tame inflation is a lot less clear. Huw Pill, the Bank’s chief economist, recently said people should accept being poorer. The problem for the BoE is the housing market and all those fixed-rate deals rolling off this year and next. Traders are also watching US producer price index inflation and UK GDP figures.
Earnings: Takeda (TAK)
The Asian session direction comes from Japan with core machine orders and New Zealand’s inflation expectations. German wholesale price inflation and French final CPI inflation are the highlights in Europe before the latest University of Michigan consumer sentiment and inflation expectations surveys. Last month’s surveys showed “worsening assessments of personal finances due to higher expenses, reflecting the ongoing pain stemming from continued high prices”.
Risk Warning: this article represents only the author’s views and is for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice or financial guidance, nor does it represent the stance of the Markets.com platform.When considering shares, indices, forex (foreign exchange) and commodities for trading and price predictions, remember that trading CFDs involves a significant degree of risk and could result in capital loss.Past performance is not indicative of any future results. This information is provided for informative purposes only and should not be construed to be investment advice. Trading cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets is restricted for all UK retail clients.
Trending Stocks Today: in the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, certain stocks catch the attention of market participants due to their innovative approaches and strategic developments.
The U.S. JOLTs job openings for May stood at 7.769 million, with June’s figure (due 29 July, 1400 GMT) expected to fall to 7.1 million, signalling a cooling labour market under tight Fed policy.
Following the ECB's decision to hold interest rates steady, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase revised their expectations for future rate cuts, considering the economic resilience and potential developments in EU-US trade relations.
set cookie